August 15, 2012
by Kirubeal Bekele
This is very interesting. I thought Sebhat Nega will be on the offensive as he usually does. But in this interview, he was very subdued and mellow. He sounded like he was giving an interview to a friendly media outlet and not feisty at all. He was vacillating and was not very sure about the whole thing. In addition, he was uncharacteristically more polite than usual. It is somewhat challenging to accurately describe what this implies.
But this may mean two things in my opinion. The first one is that Zenawi is dead for real or at least terribly out of commission . Second, the power struggle may be intense within TPLF to replace Zenawi. More ever, Sebhat Nega may not be happy about what is going within TPLF. At the same time, he may also want to make sure the opposition does not take a psychological advantage in this transitional period. Sebhat is generally playing a balancing act to save the system as much as he can. And in addition, he does not sound too friendly toward Bereket.
With all these conflicting news by Sebhat, Bereket and the TPLF media, it is totally safe to assume that Zenawi will no longer return to power even if he is alive. This is just a somewhat reliable and conservative speculation on Zenawi’s disappearance. But this by no means exclude the possibility that Zenawi may be already dead. This will be more clear in the coming days and weeks.
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